RCL (Royal Caribbean Group) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $-2.80 (As of Mar. 2026)


RCL Royal Caribbean Group RCL
84 GF Score
Price $296.30
GF Value $247.88
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Royal Caribbean Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Royal Caribbean Group RCL -3.26% 84 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-2.80 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates RCL with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of $247.88 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Royal Caribbean Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $4.923. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $-2.80 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -28.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Royal Caribbean Group was 63.50% per year. The lowest was -133.90% per year. And the median was 1.00% per year.

As of today (2026-07-05), Royal Caribbean Group's current stock price is $296.30. Royal Caribbean Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $-2.80. Royal Caribbean Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Royal Caribbean Group was 7195.00. The lowest was 13.68. And the median was 166.88.


Royal Caribbean Group  (NYSE:RCL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Royal Caribbean Group was 7195.00. The lowest was 13.68. And the median was 166.88.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Royal Caribbean Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Royal Caribbean Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Royal Caribbean Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Royal Caribbean Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Royal Caribbean Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -3.67 -3.93 -3.25 -3.09

Royal Caribbean Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.94 -2.49 -3.09 -3.09 -2.80

RCL vs ABNB, VIK, CCL: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Royal Caribbean Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Royal Caribbean Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Royal Caribbean Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Royal Caribbean Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


RCL
84GF Score
Royal Caribbean Group RCL
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Royal Caribbean Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Royal Caribbean Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=4.923/330.2130*330.2130
=4.923

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Royal Caribbean Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -4.647 241.018 -6.367
201609 2.149 241.428 2.939
201612 1.555 241.432 2.127
201703 3.122 243.801 4.229
201706 3.305 244.955 4.455
201709 3.149 246.819 4.213
201712 1.131 246.524 1.515
201803 -3.727 249.554 -4.932
201806 2.423 251.989 3.175
201809 2.473 252.439 3.235
201812 -1.991 251.233 -2.617
201903 2.899 254.202 3.766
201906 -1.328 256.143 -1.712
201909 2.074 256.759 2.667
201912 -0.350 256.974 -0.450
202003 -5.040 258.115 -6.448
202006 -11.399 257.797 -14.601
202009 -4.850 260.280 -6.153
202012 -5.418 260.474 -6.869
202103 -7.699 264.877 -9.598
202106 -2.690 271.696 -3.269
202109 -3.028 274.310 -3.645
202112 -3.056 278.802 -3.620
202203 -7.425 287.504 -8.528
202206 -1.867 296.311 -2.081
202209 -1.057 296.808 -1.176
202212 1.603 296.797 1.783
202303 4.149 301.836 4.539
202306 2.113 305.109 2.287
202309 1.340 307.789 1.438
202312 -5.186 306.746 -5.583
202403 3.865 312.332 4.086
202406 -2.018 314.175 -2.121
202409 2.133 315.301 2.234
202412 3.315 315.605 3.468
202503 4.344 319.799 4.485
202506 3.309 322.561 3.387
202509 -3.609 324.800 -3.669
202512 0.428 324.054 0.436
202603 4.923 330.213 4.923

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-2.80 mean?
Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-2.80 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Royal Caribbean Group and its competitors.
Is Royal Caribbean Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Royal Caribbean Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-2.80. Overall, Royal Caribbean Group has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Royal Caribbean Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to ABNB and VIK?
Royal Caribbean Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-2.80 can be compared against companies in the Travel & Leisure industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Royal Caribbean Group and its competitors. Royal Caribbean Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-2.80. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Royal Caribbean Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $247.88, compared to a current price of $296.30 — trading 19.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-2.80. Royal Caribbean Group's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Royal Caribbean Group (RCL), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-2.80 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Royal Caribbean Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $296.30 is trading 19.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $247.88. GuruFocus considers Royal Caribbean Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for RCL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $-2.80
  • GF Value™: $247.88 vs. price of $296.30 (19.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the RCL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Royal Caribbean Group Business Description

Address 1050 Caribbean Way, Miami, FL, USA, 33132
Royal Caribbean is the world's second-largest cruise company by revenues, operating 69 ships across five global and partner brands in the cruise vacation industry. Brands the company operates include Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea. The company also has a 50% investment in a joint venture that operates TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises. The selection of brands in the portfolio allows Royal to compete on the basis of innovation, quality of ships and service, variety of itineraries, choice of destinations, and price. The company completed the divestiture of its Azamara brand in 2021, plans to launch its new Celebrity River Cruise brand in 2027, and is set to operate eight private destination locations by 2028.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for RCL

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$296.30
Price
$247.88
GF Value